New Op-Ed: “Beyond the Noise: NATO Debates, Past and Present”

I’m pleased to share that Responsible Statecraft published my latest article on the historical debates about the U.S. commitment to NATO and European security. It argues that the reciprocal outrage of Trump’s comments and the ensuing media response has obscured long-standing historical debates about Americans’ relationship to the Old World. Give it a read:

Beyond the Noise: NATO Debates, Past and Present | Responsible Statecraft

New Op-ed: “Enemies Above: The FBI and the Creation of the Brown Scare Myth”

Thanks to the Libertarian Institute for publishing my latest article, “Enemies Above: The FBI and the Creation of the Brown Scare Myth.” It highlights the role of the Federal Bureau of Investigation in propagating the “Brown Scare,” and its implications for modern politics.

Check it out:

Enemies Above: The FBI and the Creation of the Brown Scare Myth | The Libertarian Institute

New Op-ed: “Feeling manipulated? How Uncle Sam perfected the information state.”

A special thanks to Kelley Vlahos and Responible Statecraft for publishing my latest. The piece places the Twitter Files revelations and greater concerns about government-big tech collusion within the historical context of the American information state. The article illustrates that the U.S. government has a long history of manipulating media for the purposes of steering public opinion on foreign policy. The piece also argues that media attitudes about the practice have evolved from outrage to apathay to active involvement.

Give it a read:

Feeling manipulated? How Uncle Sam perfected the information state – Responsible Statecraft

New Op-Ed: “Brown Scare, Red Scare, Fake Scare, Who’s Scared?”

A special thanks to the Libertarian Institute for publishing my latest, “Brown Scare, Red Scare, Fake Scare, Who’s Scared?”

It is a brief history of the “scare cycle,” the reciprocal political purges between the Left and the Right. It argues that these scares, built upon exaggerated claims of nefarious foreign influence, have narrowed the Overton Window on America’s role in the world, thereby maintaining a belligerent foreign policy.

Give it a read here.

New Op-Ed: Power Elite Analysis: Lessons from the ‘Conspiracist’ Right and New Left Academics

Special thanks to the Libertarian Institute for publishing my latest piece, ‘Power Elite Analysis: Lessons from the ‘Conspiracist’ Right and New Left Academics.’ It covers some of the New Left – Old Right ideological cross-pollination of the late 1960s and argues the example set by one New Left scholar, G. William Domhoff, is one that we ought to aspire to.

Give it a read!

New Op-ed: “Why Can’t We Be Friends? The History of and Prospects for Left and Right Antiwar Collaboration”

The folks at freethepeople.org were nice enough to publish my latest op-ed: “Why Can’t We Be Friends? The History of and Prospects for Left and Right Antiwar Collaboration.” It argues that today’s antiwar political environment resembles that of the late Interwar Period. Furthermore, it argues that today’s antiwar movements have a historic opportunity for collaboration as they are unlikely to be driven apart from establishment narratives about America’s role in the world.

Give it a read and a share.

Why Can’t We Be Friends? The History of and Prospects for Left and Right Antiwar Collaboration (freethepeople.org)

Brown Scares, Red Scares, and Putin Scares

In today’s climate of war fever and paranoia, Francis MacDonnell’s Insidious Foes: The Axis Fifth Column and the American Home Front ought to be essential reading for any well-meaning person who wants to prevent the errors of the past. For all the comparisons between Hitler and Putin, the domestic climate of fear is a closer analog to the late 1930s than to the ambiguous state of Russian forces that invaded Ukraine. Similarly, the domestic costs of confrontation with Russia will have a far more significant impact on the lives and livelihoods of Americans than whatever resolution might tragically befall the people of Ukraine. 

Temperamentally, I am the sort of historian (if I may be so bold as to call myself one) who believes that history ought to, at best, be used as an instrument of caution, not a tool for action. In that vein, Insidious Foes has immense value. MacDonnell’s work explores America’s domestic worries about an Axis “fifth column” from 1938 to 1942. While not baseless, MacDonnell argues that these worries were exacerbated by government and media forces into a kind of moral panic. MacDonnell asserts, “[t]he Axis Fifth Column scare thus fits into a historical pattern of national hysteria (p.4).”

While MacDonnell doesn’t discount the presence Nazi sympathizers on American shores, or real Nazi agents, he argues that these threats were marginal. While demagogues like Father Caughlin or American Bund inspired individual acts of violence, they “never posed any real threat to the republic (p.47).” He further asserts that “[t]hroughout the Great Depression Americans demonstrated antipathy toward both right-wing and left-wing radicalism.” And as for actual Nazi agents, plots hatched by German intelligence were woefully inept and quickly foiled. Despite these realities, the domestic threat of fascism was seized upon by the government and mass media for their ends. This distance between image and reality should serve as a warning in this time of foreign war, as both the government and the corporate press are interested in amplifying Putin’s threat abroad and at home.

And if you’re still with me thus far and have difficulty accepting the validity of these arguments because your politics may not align with mine, let me appeal to your egalitarianism and your self-interest. MacDonnell illustrates that the tragedy of Japanese internment was made possible by the fear of domestic fascism, a fear stoaked by the government and media. MacDonnell asserts, “the panic’s intensity greatly agitated the public and made possible the tragedy of internment (p.90).” Will Russian nationals and Americans of Russian descent likely be rounded up and thrown in camps in 2022? No. However, Russophobia exists and, I would even argue, is tolerated in this climate. Are we that much more advanced than the Americans of the late-1930s? We can be better than these base instincts if we allow history to serve as a warning.

And now, for your self-interest. MacDonnell argues the domestic fear of fascism and the resulting victory over Hitler accelerated the “creation of a powerful intelligence establishment at home (p.9).” The fear surrounding the fascist threat helped to solidify the national security state and was subsequently and concurrently against dissentients on the left. The “Brown Scare” of the late 1930s helped birth the “Red Scare” of the 1950s. Whatever happens in Europe, you can bet the farm that some unscrupulous actors here at home will want to use the threat of Putin to expand the national security state. 

Perhaps that might even sound appealing! But remember that these powers can be turned against you and the political causes you support. And, if history is any guide, it will be.

No Really, It’s the Wars Stupid: Why the Right Has Wavered on Interventionism

It is clear for anyone unfortunate enough to be on Twitter that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has further inflamed the American political divide and the culture war. Twitter’s “What’s Happening” panel is awash in hashtags like #GOPTraitors#GOPTraitorsToDemocracy #GOPtheRussianParty. These hashtags and many others reveal an accelerating liberal narrative about the Republican Party. It is difficult to know how much of this sentiment is earnest v. bot-driven; however, either way, such narratives miss the make when explaining the right’s turn towards noninterventionism.

These myopic narratives are missing the more considerable evolution within the American right Republican Party’s base that has wavered on U.S. foreign policy, not merely because of some affinity for Putinism, nor due to “Russian disinformation.” They’ve wavered in their support due to the sacrifices borne from 20 years of war. I am not the first person to make this argument, and I previously did so in a piece for antiwar.com. Given the virulence and short-sightedness of his discourse, I believe that this topic demands to be revisited.

While it is true that some segments of the dissident right hold fundamentally illiberal political views and have an affinity for postliberal politics, assigning this as a primary reason for the right’s newfound “isolationism” mixes cause and effect.

In addition to more generalized populism, such politics have appeal because of the failures of the neoliberal political consensus. On issues of trade, immigration, and war, this consensus has failed to live up to its lofty goals and promises. Among these failures are the societal and economic impacts of the Global War on Terror. Populists are speaking to (and capitalizing on) these concerns as establishment politicians from both parties appear disinclined to do so.

The modern political seeds of this realignment started with the Tea Party. While the right has a long history with “isolationism,” it was a cadre of young House members and Senators who led the opposition against the wars in Libya and Syria. As the War on Terror grew under the Democratic Obama administration, right-wing resistance to American interventionism became primed for a figure like Trump to capitalize on their discontent. Scholars Douglas L. Kriner and Francis X. Shen have argued that disparities in military deaths gave Trump an edge in his 2016 win in crucial swing states, particularly in the Midwest. 

The graphic depicts the relationship between Trump’s 2016 election performance and John McCain as compared to per capita military fatalities. Each dot represents a county and is colorized and faceted by country region—each dot is located on an x-axis which depicts the difference in vote share between Trump and McCain. The y-axis shows each county’s 1 per 100k per capita causality rate. High per-capita rates of military casualties gave an edge to Trump’s 2016 presidential victory. The relationship becomes clear when comparing the electoral results between Trump and Sen. John McCain, the embodiment of the conservative establishment. Many Trump voters supported the political novice due to his noninterventionist musings and condemnation of the Iraq War, an unusual position for a Republican political figure.
countystateMedian Household IncomeTotal PopNo. of FatalitiesFatalities per 100k08 McCain Vote %16 Trump Vote %Trump Gain
GarfieldMontana431061192183.982%91%9%
HaakonSouth Dakota507471924152.082%90%7%
EdwardsTexas404241993150.265%70%5%
OldhamTexas594042054148.788%90%1%
SanbornSouth Dakota565072352142.557%73%16%
KiowaKansas495882570138.980%83%3%
Big StoneMinnesota526925264238.046%58%13%
HutchinsonSouth Dakota593367343227.264%75%11%
ClarkSouth Dakota541583686127.155%69%13%
MasonTexas549144022124.973%81%8%
Red LakeMinnesota583844075124.545%61%16%
SuttonTexas634274080124.575%76%1%
KnoxMissouri417554133124.260%76%16%
RichardsonNebraska502078350224.059%73%14%
FlorenceWisconsin582704397122.756%71%15%
OceanaMichigan5231926513622.647%61%14%
MineralNevada437714768121.049%59%10%
Hot SpringsWyoming523444803120.872%75%3%
LinnKansas628769640220.767%79%12%
MartinTexas687454825120.781%83%2%
SchleyGeorgia511295010120.072%77%5%
AllendaleSouth Carolina3214710351219.324%22%-2%
DeweySouth Dakota476405336118.733%42%9%
WheelerTexas585445407118.585%91%5%
SheridanNebraska461595452118.379%85%6%
BooneNebraska582045500118.272%79%7%
CherryNebraska506775717117.577%84%7%
WarrenGeorgia373135804117.241%42%2%
DuvalTexas3710011739217.024%32%7%
DixonNebraska573246003116.764%73%9%
CrosbyTexas388716059116.564%68%5%
TetonMontana544586081116.457%68%11%
CedarIowa7102918501316.244%55%11%
MckenzieNorth Dakota868906415115.664%79%14%
MorrisTexas4330412918215.560%69%9%
BlaineMontana440906507115.438%47%9%
GreenwoodKansas448766677115.071%76%5%
EdwardsIllinois549306729114.964%83%19%
PershingNevada585626751114.859%71%12%
OntonagonMichigan455316756114.847%60%13%
ClinchGeorgia429286800114.762%70%8%
CumberlandKentucky348976850114.674%82%8%
TreutlenGeorgia374786876114.562%67%5%
AndersonKentucky6130821465314.065%72%7%
WestonWyoming594107182113.977%86%9%
MississippiMissouri3680214390213.957%70%13%
NemahaNebraska553437258113.861%67%6%
LakeColorado568507287113.736%40%4%
RuskWisconsin4986014715213.645%64%20%
ValleyMontana518697359113.648%69%21%
OvertonTennessee4363622086313.656%74%18%
FultonPennsylvania5635714852213.574%84%10%
FremontIowa604987432113.551%67%16%
HempsteadArkansas4086722620313.358%62%4%
BarnwellSouth Carolina3667522630313.349%52%3%
ChoctawOklahoma3713115225213.167%78%11%
LeeKentucky309057874112.771%81%9%
MarshallOklahoma4500515887212.669%77%7%
DoniphanKansas525967950112.667%77%11%
RichlandIllinois4977516215212.357%75%18%
CastroTexas517368110112.368%71%3%
RichlandNorth Dakota6283716342212.252%63%11%
DoddridgeWest Virginia506428201112.273%83%10%
Kit CarsonColorado429518276112.171%80%9%
NewtonArkansas376488334112.065%77%11%
KeithNebraska514788367112.074%80%6%
GilchristFlorida4617116956211.872%80%8%
OscodaMichigan445948609111.654%70%16%
PlatteWyoming574258673111.565%76%11%
PrairieArkansas462058696111.566%73%7%
BeadleSouth Dakota5184417408211.553%66%13%
OuachitaArkansas4639326134311.554%54%-1%
WeakleyTennessee4250635024411.465%74%9%
MonroeMissouri483998782111.459%76%17%
BentonIndiana550168888111.357%70%13%
DawsonMontana566778936111.259%76%17%
MarionMississippi3840227083311.166%67%1%
ArcherTexas637319060111.082%88%6%
CarrollMissouri506289296110.865%80%15%
GreeneIowa555629335110.749%58%10%
ClayWest Virginia419239360110.754%77%24%
WrightMissouri3938418853210.668%83%15%
LoveOklahoma514819442110.667%77%10%
LivingstonKentucky505219534110.563%77%14%
ClaiborneMississippi312219559110.514%13%-1%
PickensAlabama4024919705210.154%57%3%
CheyenneNebraska562299979110.074%78%4%
BrownKansas475589988110.068%72%4%
PontotocMississippi4891030008310.076%80%4%
MetcalfeKentucky389781010919.965%76%10%
CaldwellLouisiana440071011919.976%81%6%
OchiltreeTexas625671021119.892%88%-4%
KewauneeWisconsin658792057229.744%61%18%
CaledoniaVermont509423120239.637%39%2%
ConcordiaLouisiana362762080629.659%62%2%
KemperMississippi334721041519.637%38%1%
TexasOklahoma560142084329.685%80%-5%
FultonIndiana550112084429.657%72%15%
RunnelsTexas486501053019.581%86%5%
StutsmanNorth Dakota602972111029.556%66%10%
LincolnWashington608491056119.564%72%8%
WilkesGeorgia397161059019.454%57%4%
SwitzerlandIndiana524821061519.453%69%16%
FranklinIowa558471068319.449%64%15%
McdonoughIllinois490483260939.246%52%5%
AlconaMichigan414911088419.253%68%15%
McduffieGeorgia444732187629.157%59%2%
MooreTexas550992199029.179%75%-3%
Red WillowNebraska502601104519.174%82%8%
LyonKansas498403365438.952%53%1%
GreenKentucky388961122618.975%82%7%
YanktonSouth Dakota608682246028.951%59%8%
LouisaIowa605441137518.847%61%14%
NoxubeeMississippi329161151118.723%22%-2%
LincolnOregon522764605448.737%40%3%
FranklinFlorida475041155418.763%69%5%
PanolaMississippi406553470038.646%49%3%
McclainOklahoma750093471538.676%78%2%
AransasTexas530852315128.668%74%5%
FergusMontana487031158218.666%73%7%
HowardTexas611123500338.673%76%4%
StarkeIndiana540012337228.647%69%22%
RayMissouri616782347428.551%65%15%
CarltonMinnesota657493539938.535%45%9%
IronMichigan468141181318.548%62%14%
WabashIllinois542491191418.456%74%18%
CherokeeIowa599011209518.353%67%14%
LawrenceSouth Dakota539022419328.357%63%5%
CharltonGeorgia428911213718.267%73%7%
BooneArkansas500833691838.168%76%8%
CrawfordMissouri483152463728.160%80%20%
HickmanTennessee461762465928.156%73%17%
GrantKentucky552102467128.163%76%13%
Scotts BluffNebraska502633707238.166%70%4%
NorthamptonVirginia452351238818.141%44%2%
GrundyIowa736831244718.058%66%8%
DaleAlabama451205035847.972%74%2%
PowellKentucky417601262517.957%71%14%
MarshallIllinois636281262917.950%63%14%
ButlerKentucky463051271417.970%79%10%
Lewis And ClarkMontana660756362057.945%49%4%
ShelbyTexas397082545527.972%79%7%
AmeliaVirginia600961272917.961%67%6%
AdairMissouri430442560727.850%59%9%
PikeIndiana523781283117.853%74%20%
GraysonKentucky437712578527.867%78%11%
De KalbMissouri539971290017.862%77%15%
FranklinKansas559842603527.760%66%5%
AmiteMississippi415751311017.656%61%5%
UvaldeTexas446902647727.652%54%2%
KoochichingMinnesota525451331417.544%56%13%
StewartTennessee521771335017.554%73%19%
AllenKansas466901335417.561%67%6%
PikeMississippi350444041637.448%49%1%
JacksonKansas606151349217.461%68%7%
PerquimansNorth Carolina508041349517.457%62%6%
WilbargerTexas425701352417.473%77%4%
LewisNew York565992707227.454%65%12%
ElmoreIdaho477962712327.467%68%1%
BuffaloWisconsin584071357517.442%58%16%
OrleansVermont488262723127.335%43%8%
ColfaxNew Mexico427541372617.344%48%5%
SumterAlabama292091374417.325%25%0%
ArmstrongPennsylvania562596883957.362%74%13%
HowardIndiana540488277067.252%64%12%
CannonTennessee529601379517.261%75%15%
HowardArkansas414271382017.261%68%7%
ComancheTexas541221398117.273%83%10%
JacksonTexas558001407717.174%80%7%
MeadeKentucky549462866427.060%71%11%
TriggKentucky499551435117.064%73%9%
LincolnWisconsin607282872027.043%57%14%
FlemingKentucky439431438117.059%75%17%
SusquehannaPennsylvania602354327736.955%68%13%
San MiguelNew Mexico369862938726.819%22%2%
WashingtonIllinois642971469816.856%75%19%
HallNebraska573715881446.861%65%4%
PickensGeorgia661832943626.878%83%5%
DouglasWisconsin556514418436.833%43%10%
AlpenaMichigan436762952926.847%62%15%
ShelbyIndiana597984439136.859%71%12%
CaddoOklahoma457552966526.765%69%4%
AndrewsTexas749181483316.782%79%-3%
San JuanUtah494381483616.751%49%-3%
KarnesTexas548431484116.760%71%10%
La SalleLouisiana510141492816.785%89%3%
UnionKentucky498701500516.752%76%24%
MorganOhio468831502516.752%69%17%
MillsIowa726791506116.657%66%8%
CraigOklahoma429781507416.665%74%9%
LoganIllinois538063028626.658%66%8%
BourbonKansas474521517216.663%73%10%
GasconadeMissouri537511522616.661%76%15%
KnoxOhio599576098846.659%67%8%
MarshallTennessee581513068426.560%71%12%
TallahatchieMississippi319151534616.540%42%2%
WakullaFlorida586403082626.562%68%7%
WalthallMississippi354651541616.555%59%4%
ClareMichigan424803092726.547%64%17%
AlamosaColorado382131549916.542%44%2%
GoodingIdaho502051550316.570%72%2%
MaconMissouri457171558116.461%76%15%
RenvilleMinnesota591101569316.449%64%16%
CoosOregon495046302546.350%57%7%
ArenacMichigan440171586716.347%64%17%
WashburnWisconsin527351591616.347%59%12%
VermillionIndiana507231614816.242%65%23%
HenryTennessee431593234926.260%73%13%
ClarkIllinois583231630916.153%71%18%
BurleighNorth Dakota735658166656.161%68%7%
EmmetMichigan594563269126.151%56%5%
GogebicMichigan390301640016.140%55%15%
ChavesNew Mexico436876577946.162%63%2%
Hot SpringArkansas458603294326.160%68%8%
CoosNew Hampshire491563295026.140%51%11%
JeffersonNew York5382911658276.052%57%5%
PiattIllinois722651670516.055%63%7%
DallasMissouri423891676216.064%79%15%
ClarkeMississippi428261676316.062%66%3%
Le FloreOklahoma423785052035.969%78%8%
AtchisonKansas518601689415.953%62%9%
TaylorWest Virginia482941689415.958%72%14%
TiogaNew York606995104935.954%59%5%
BatesMissouri484421704215.958%75%16%
FordKansas546043409425.965%66%2%
ChambersAlabama420153415725.954%56%2%
EffinghamIllinois589433423425.867%77%10%
PulaskiVirginia540863482925.759%68%9%
PotterPennsylvania490541746415.768%80%12%
BureauIllinois579353494125.746%56%10%
KnoxIllinois434045291935.739%48%9%
Ben HillGeorgia359311765315.757%63%6%
YanceyNorth Carolina476641779415.652%64%12%
LacledeMissouri439693564225.667%80%14%
CrossArkansas452731785115.662%67%5%
RandolphArkansas428751796915.657%71%13%
JacksonArkansas386361797415.656%63%8%
ClaytonIowa532231808715.541%58%18%
CowleyKansas515373628525.562%66%4%
BlairPennsylvania5100412703175.562%71%10%
MariposaCalifornia527601824315.555%58%4%
ApplingGeorgia438211826115.573%78%6%
PemiscotMissouri342801826315.556%66%10%
BosqueTexas551791826915.575%81%6%
UnicoiTennessee445481827815.569%79%9%
LowndesGeorgia4645010973465.554%57%3%
IndependenceArkansas479033673825.467%73%6%
AddisonVermont735743681025.429%28%-2%
GreeneVirginia733451846115.460%62%2%
PatrickVirginia435681846415.464%76%11%
FinneyKansas574123701325.467%63%-4%
InyoCalifornia596051851315.453%53%0%
ClatsopOregon593393707025.439%41%3%
SouthamptonVirginia623271855215.451%57%6%
TuscolaMichigan523425566135.449%66%17%
Pearl RiverMississippi458745578835.480%81%1%
DekalbTennessee464071872715.358%74%17%
PierceGeorgia467011881815.381%86%5%
AdamsWashington535351882115.366%66%0%
NatronaWyoming661047550745.365%71%5%
New MadridMissouri421151893415.357%72%15%
PerryMissouri570321893715.364%79%15%
UmatillaOregon582867607945.360%62%2%
Van BurenMichigan587337618645.345%54%9%
WasecaMinnesota639071913715.253%62%9%
LlanoTexas556171931615.276%79%4%
PerryIndiana539081932715.238%57%19%
DaviessKentucky526209676255.254%63%9%
NewtonMissouri532515811735.269%77%8%
DavisonSouth Dakota573671953315.157%65%8%
TishomingoMississippi433411959415.175%86%10%
LincolnMontana436691967015.162%72%10%
WicomicoMaryland543519884355.152%52%0%
CrawfordIllinois503521979415.156%72%16%
NatchitochesLouisiana495363960525.053%54%1%
MarionKentucky480621983115.050%63%13%
GonzalesTexas484251986615.065%72%8%
DouglasIllinois642831997015.060%70%10%
MinidokaIdaho561732011215.074%71%-3%
East FelicianaLouisiana500412019015.055%55%1%
Buena VistaIowa570482033214.950%59%9%
La PazArizona394072045814.963%67%4%
FranklinTennessee543194101024.960%70%10%
PierceWisconsin753684112524.944%53%9%
MontroseColorado507074118324.964%68%4%
AcadiaLouisiana447286184434.972%77%5%
RichlandOhio5188312417764.856%66%11%
TallapoosaAlabama471004151624.868%70%2%
FranklinLouisiana354842077314.867%71%4%
FayetteIowa531422083914.841%56%15%
MartinMinnesota546022084014.856%67%11%
WarrenPennsylvania525924176724.852%68%15%
MidlandMichigan698598359244.851%56%5%
ColoradoTexas556072089814.869%74%5%
WinneshiekIowa654822105914.738%47%9%
KandiyohiMinnesota641294227024.752%59%7%
UintaWyoming707562113714.768%73%4%
CoffeeGeorgia416754233224.765%69%4%
JayIndiana494472119614.753%71%18%
BertieNorth Carolina378992125014.735%37%2%
BentonOregon691488557544.733%28%-5%
VilasWisconsin555762139614.751%60%9%
BurnetTexas628274285424.771%76%5%
SullivanIndiana533752146914.749%72%22%
MuskingumOhio521058614244.653%65%12%
MaconAlabama342812154014.613%16%3%
CherokeeKansas476822156914.661%72%11%
WorthGeorgia431422163014.669%74%5%
WabashaMinnesota634352165814.650%59%9%
JeffersonOregon525432167014.653%58%5%
WashingtonIowa632302169314.649%56%7%
NewtonMississippi429622171814.667%69%3%
TylerTexas482542174114.671%83%11%
MeriwetherGeorgia435712184914.652%57%4%
PenobscotMaine5070215384974.547%52%5%
FranklinGeorgia476912204814.575%83%8%
KlamathOregon530306634534.565%67%2%
ScottTennessee387502223114.573%85%12%
GraftonNew Hampshire624688910844.535%37%2%
GageNebraska568172230114.553%63%10%
PerryIllinois568802234314.551%70%19%
MonroeWisconsin602964473624.545%58%12%
GallatinMontana737318965844.547%44%-3%
Hood RiverOregon688352245114.533%30%-3%
SiskiyouCalifornia459544492924.554%55%2%
JeromeIdaho563202246914.572%69%-3%
TazewellVirginia436194507824.466%82%16%
WilliamsNorth Dakota846062255214.467%79%12%
JeffersonPennsylvania507894523124.464%78%14%
PayetteIdaho536432262114.470%75%5%
EmanuelGeorgia385292266414.462%68%6%
Pointe CoupeeLouisiana480112277114.454%58%4%
BibbAlabama479182286714.472%76%4%
BarronWisconsin543724585024.446%60%14%
JerseyIllinois633512294414.450%70%20%
WayneIndiana478856885334.451%63%12%
PerryPennsylvania654014599524.366%74%8%
LaramieWyoming696139212744.359%61%2%
SewardKansas557272303614.371%63%-8%
OrangeburgSouth Carolina387369234644.330%31%0%
McdonaldMissouri396152308714.368%80%12%
CassiaIdaho532842308814.380%73%-8%
KayOklahoma485224646024.371%72%2%
MercerPennsylvania5409911655854.349%60%11%
HillsdaleMichigan500154664324.355%71%16%
LinnOregon6108411691054.354%57%3%
SalineMissouri473242340614.350%64%14%
JohnsonKentucky312022341514.370%84%14%
CulpeperVirginia797394685024.354%60%6%
LimestoneTexas436442342814.366%75%9%
RouttColorado876912344714.336%37%2%
OsceolaMichigan473432350614.354%69%15%
NorthumberlandPennsylvania479679436644.256%69%13%
FanninGeorgia479802366314.274%82%8%
ButtsGeorgia474102367414.265%71%5%
King GeorgeVirginia856572367514.256%61%5%
MeigsOhio437542374514.258%73%15%
NobleIndiana609804754124.257%72%15%
MuscogeeGeorgia4703519041784.240%39%-1%
CarterOklahoma518954762224.270%74%4%
PanolaTexas568822382414.274%81%7%
OktibbehaMississippi416314769224.250%47%-2%
ApacheArizona353867167634.235%30%-5%
MacoupinIllinois541744780824.244%64%20%
BeaufortNorth Carolina494104782024.258%61%2%
OtsegoMichigan523922413214.154%66%12%
ScottIndiana505712417414.150%67%17%
StarkNorth Dakota687592432114.163%79%16%
LetcherKentucky324352455114.165%80%15%
PoinsettArkansas405362456814.162%71%9%
WhiteIndiana582952463514.153%69%15%
BoydKentucky500174958024.055%66%11%
ChurchillNevada563352481014.064%72%7%
DicksonTennessee591264973324.060%71%11%
GillespieTexas621432489914.078%79%2%
JasperSouth Carolina507902493914.038%45%7%
PlymouthIowa691652499514.062%73%11%
WoodfordKentucky678152502514.058%57%-1%
CoffeeAlabama572995010424.074%76%2%
AndersonTennessee509737516034.062%64%2%
ComancheOklahoma5118412536854.059%59%0%
PolkOregon697577562534.049%47%-2%
HartGeorgia506472521714.065%72%7%
HenryIllinois616805043824.045%57%11%
WascoOregon569932526614.045%49%4%
Cape GirardeauMissouri576187589534.066%73%7%
CamdenGeorgia585525069723.961%65%4%
AdamsPennsylvania6770610148543.959%66%7%
RandolphMissouri480432543713.961%73%12%
MeadeSouth Dakota599812545413.966%73%7%
LeavenworthKansas758407650433.955%58%3%
MontezumaColorado526412553913.959%61%2%
GladwinMichigan464582567513.948%65%17%
ErieOhio607907707033.942%52%10%
AllenLouisiana471112573213.967%74%7%
UnionOregon542642579613.960%65%5%
LyonMinnesota638492586513.950%59%10%
CleburneArkansas462142599113.870%78%8%
LyonNevada594065204923.858%67%10%
San JuanNew Mexico4620113014553.860%61%1%
TexasMissouri389142604813.866%81%15%
Mille LacsMinnesota592622608813.852%64%12%
McnairyTennessee454692610913.868%78%10%
DickinsonMichigan537512611113.853%65%12%
WaupacaWisconsin617735236923.848%62%14%
NicholasWest Virginia400232622113.851%76%25%
JeffersonIdaho630782623613.882%74%-8%
BooneIowa639752628113.845%53%8%
CochiseArizona4865013178953.859%56%-3%
MonroeGeorgia704882646713.865%70%4%
JacksonOklahoma484302649613.875%76%2%
MontgomeryKentucky529032651613.858%69%11%
AshlandOhio525545312723.860%71%11%
JacksonAlabama443225312823.867%79%12%
RussellAlabama436705318823.846%48%2%
LauderdaleMississippi416048022933.759%60%1%
MingoWest Virginia346982678913.755%83%28%
LoganKentucky489022683513.764%71%8%
DouglasOregon4894010763843.758%65%6%
CoconinoArizona5830113465153.741%35%-6%
HardemanTennessee409892717413.746%53%7%
CodingtonSouth Dakota634422723113.753%67%14%
MaverickTexas400175452123.721%21%0%
OrangeTexas629768193033.773%80%7%
PulaskiArkansas52684383632143.644%38%-5%
BarbourAlabama359722741113.650%52%2%
MortonNorth Dakota680512760013.659%72%12%
WellsIndiana616362764213.665%76%11%
DoorWisconsin642172773013.641%49%8%
DecaturGeorgia404732781313.657%59%2%
GlennCalifornia556822812913.660%61%1%
HenryOhio613512818613.556%67%11%
MarionWest Virginia513005648223.549%64%15%
WashingtonIndiana519482829013.558%72%14%
WindsorVermont618435665423.529%29%0%
GilmerGeorgia570072833513.575%82%7%
BeaverPennsylvania6032317056763.551%58%7%
AustinTexas683112844313.575%79%4%
BellTexas54831313000113.555%55%0%
BradfordFlorida475092848013.570%74%4%
CarrollTennessee432582851813.564%75%11%
AdamsOhio431452855013.561%76%16%
Del NorteCalifornia489792863213.552%54%2%
CarterTennessee399645735823.573%80%7%
Van WertOhio553612869813.563%76%13%
RipleyIndiana612192881413.564%77%13%
RussellVirginia403452886213.556%78%22%
MarlboroSouth Carolina345322887313.537%41%4%
OxfordMaine503445775223.541%52%11%
MontgomeryTennessee5760617330763.553%56%3%
LeeNorth Carolina531145795123.554%55%1%
RogersOklahoma670548698833.472%76%4%
WoodWest Virginia492098699033.464%71%8%
CumberlandNorth Carolina46599320267113.441%40%-1%
ClarkeGeorgia4103611666843.434%28%-5%
MendocinoCalifornia523098782833.427%29%2%
HockingOhio510162937413.449%66%17%
BossierLouisiana5408011752243.471%71%0%
CopiahMississippi422992943013.446%47%1%
LaurelKentucky440335894423.478%83%4%
ClayMinnesota648745916223.441%46%5%
DodgeWisconsin617308874833.454%62%8%
CalhounAlabama4774711851043.466%69%3%
PineMinnesota556842972713.448%59%12%
WashingtonVermont658795957723.428%26%-3%
LowndesMississippi492515983623.351%52%1%
LumpkinGeorgia570782999813.375%77%2%
GranvilleNorth Carolina543006006323.346%50%3%
MontgomeryIllinois516653007613.348%66%19%
WayneGeorgia473823011513.372%78%6%
GeneseeMichigan50554424926143.333%43%10%
GarfieldOklahoma583816075623.375%74%-2%
BryanGeorgia792963038213.371%69%-2%
FranklinMaine511363073213.339%48%9%
RutlandVermont519036156623.237%42%5%
CentrePennsylvania6103615412753.244%46%3%
WashingtonOhio525656168323.257%69%12%
TuscarawasOhio541509254233.248%65%18%
OtsegoNew York524146223223.246%52%6%
BibbGeorgia4306615571553.241%38%-2%
HarrisonMississippi4961918778563.263%64%1%
MalheurOregon420193131913.269%69%0%
AdamsNebraska551823138813.262%69%6%
PolkMinnesota605823164013.247%61%14%
FranklinAlabama448743172913.269%79%10%
TehamaCalifornia516726360423.161%65%4%
OttawaOklahoma415303183113.162%71%10%
ElkPennsylvania554623185013.147%69%23%
IoniaMichigan595826388423.152%62%10%
KlebergTexas471693210613.146%46%0%
LafourcheLouisiana541459632833.171%77%5%
DillonSouth Carolina354833212013.144%48%4%
SmythVirginia419643216313.164%76%12%
ClaiborneTennessee401163223413.169%80%11%
AdamsMississippi345833225113.142%42%1%
MonongaliaWest Virginia556529679133.147%51%4%
PortageOhio5743916138653.145%52%8%
RenoKansas533716459723.161%64%3%
LefloreMississippi296873230713.131%29%-3%
JeffersonIndiana533783239413.152%63%11%
GalvestonTexas7321429260793.159%60%1%
BeckerMinnesota613113252013.152%63%11%
CarbonPennsylvania599856522023.148%65%17%
NicolletMinnesota710673278013.144%47%3%
WashingtonMaine390683281113.048%56%7%
SumterGeorgia402503281613.047%48%1%
WarrenNew York632406569723.048%50%2%
MadisonIndiana5414513164243.046%60%14%
ElkhartIndiana5578219764663.055%64%9%
PikeAlabama412713295713.057%58%1%
OconeeGeorgia1008783298413.071%67%-4%
MarionSouth Carolina351383300113.036%38%2%
HuronMichigan491263303913.049%67%18%
CarolineMaryland601433309313.061%66%6%
TransylvaniaNorth Carolina556283309413.056%59%3%
ChesterSouth Carolina454003309613.045%51%6%
BotetourtVirginia741783316513.066%71%5%
ScottIowa6572416584153.042%45%3%
WilliamsonIllinois569586636923.056%68%11%
MorrisonMinnesota618473320413.058%73%15%
MccurtainOklahoma408033321213.073%81%7%
ClintonIndiana553363323413.056%71%16%
JacksonOhio506713326813.059%73%14%
HanoverVirginia908249994833.066%63%-3%
MohaveArizona4971220018163.066%73%7%
WinnebagoWisconsin5964316705953.043%50%7%
RichmondGeorgia4481020100563.034%32%-1%
GibsonIndiana618723353713.056%72%16%
ChampaignIllinois5348520133263.040%36%-4%
ChautauquaNew York5014313476843.049%58%10%
KendallTexas948993370013.077%78%1%
SiouxIowa715663370513.081%81%0%
WashingtonTexas590393378213.071%74%3%
TazewellIllinois6620613543343.052%60%8%
FanninTexas561233390512.969%79%10%
DareNorth Carolina630333401512.954%58%4%
EctorTexas6556413714542.974%68%-5%
LonokeArkansas627826863422.973%74%1%
LincolnMaine586193439912.943%45%2%
PutnamOhio734543446412.970%80%10%
TippecanoeIndiana5122817296352.944%49%6%
CravenNorth Carolina5337210390832.956%59%3%
ClarkWisconsin542963469312.945%64%19%
HarveyKansas629613472612.958%58%0%
ChristianIllinois515733478612.952%68%16%
PottawatomieOklahoma527476960822.969%70%1%
JeffersonOhio476526961422.949%66%17%
GrantIndiana475096997522.956%67%11%
PortageWisconsin582487005322.935%45%10%
LubbockTexas5473328023782.968%66%-2%
ImperialCalifornia4810217523452.936%26%-10%
DelawareOhio11025217525052.959%55%-4%
IsabellaMichigan466777033422.840%49%9%
SenecaNew York510643519912.848%52%4%
WashoeNevada71733422528122.843%45%3%
SagadahocMaine658413522612.841%43%2%
CitrusFlorida4976214112942.857%68%11%
ShastaCalifornia6146417729152.862%65%3%
MuskogeeOklahoma433927111022.858%62%5%
WhitleyKentucky381913558612.873%82%9%
SpartanburgSouth Carolina5558828471382.860%63%3%
HardinKentucky5771110693332.860%62%3%
WapelloIowa505333566712.842%58%16%
Prince GeorgeVirginia745183571612.855%57%2%
NavajoArizona4067610755132.855%51%-4%
AroostookMaine406757172022.844%55%11%
OneidaWisconsin627653591912.844%56%13%
VanderburghIndiana5160317983352.848%56%8%
DouglasMinnesota675923598812.854%64%10%
PerryOhio518753605812.850%68%18%
ScotlandNorth Carolina391973610012.842%45%3%
El DoradoCalifornia8620218119452.854%53%-2%
PutnamTennessee490837256422.863%70%7%
WebsterMissouri548443628712.864%77%13%
WareGeorgia376423634012.867%70%3%
AlbanyWyoming522163643812.746%45%-2%
Grays HarborWashington593467288222.741%50%8%
MissoulaMontana5727910949432.735%38%2%
MesaColorado6024914631342.764%64%0%
HoughtonMichigan450063668612.751%54%4%
LoganWest Virginia385333674312.754%80%26%
MiamiIndiana536583680012.759%74%15%
SurryNorth Carolina486377369422.763%74%10%
GreenupKentucky521793688512.756%71%15%
GloucesterVirginia717153695012.763%67%4%
LafayetteLouisiana6005322205162.765%65%0%
FultonIllinois504613705012.738%54%15%
DeltaMichigan488803706512.746%60%14%
BenningtonVermont569483708912.732%34%2%
ChristianKentucky463907417922.760%64%4%
GrahamArizona506853711012.770%40%-30%
AlleganyMaryland481707502122.762%69%8%
WilliamsOhio542393753512.754%69%15%
EllisTexas7834115046242.771%71%0%
MadisonIdaho461773762312.785%57%-28%
OcontoWisconsin664013765212.746%66%20%
CoryellTexas530837564522.663%67%4%
WebsterIowa533443791512.645%58%13%
LibertyTexas532747586822.671%78%6%
ErathTexas530443794812.677%81%4%
ChathamGeorgia5712226587172.642%41%-2%
MonroeMichigan6434115193242.647%58%11%
AmadorCalifornia626403804212.656%59%3%
BrownTexas560403814512.680%86%5%
EscambiaAlabama427123829212.664%67%3%
KingsCalifornia5729715317442.656%53%-3%
MontgomeryAlabama5271122984462.640%35%-5%
DyerTennessee487703834912.668%76%8%
ValenciaNew Mexico548677675922.645%48%2%
OuachitaLouisiana4323515391042.662%61%-1%
HarnettNorth Carolina5561911573332.658%60%2%
DouglasWashington630863858912.660%62%2%
KanawhaWest Virginia4833419297652.650%58%8%
CatawbaNorth Carolina5368815438942.662%67%5%
LawrenceMissouri457463860112.668%78%11%
GreenePennsylvania565993864012.649%69%19%
CalcasieuLouisiana5305019323052.661%65%3%
Twin FallsIdaho561417751722.667%66%-1%
WaldoMaine510733880112.643%46%3%
JeffersonIllinois505313880612.654%69%15%
SomersetPennsylvania490827762622.662%77%15%
CassIndiana517773896512.653%68%15%
DefianceOhio609183900712.654%64%10%
CheathamTennessee627863910312.665%71%6%
CrawfordKansas427233918512.648%58%10%
BrazoriaTexas8370431449482.564%60%-4%
Nez PerceIdaho676453933912.558%62%4%
IslandWashington721737868122.546%43%-3%
MarionIllinois522913941712.550%69%19%
FloydKentucky358283944612.549%73%23%
RaleighWest Virginia453867890422.562%74%12%
DeschutesOregon7188015789442.549%46%-3%
SussexDelaware6483919787152.554%59%5%
GlynnGeorgia580177981622.561%63%1%
SaginawMichigan4847119991152.541%48%8%
CullmanAlabama508978045922.582%87%5%
Des MoinesIowa535474031812.538%50%12%
TiftGeorgia477644033912.566%67%1%
TangipahoaLouisiana4786012142532.565%65%0%
ManitowocWisconsin613268134922.545%57%12%
WilsonNorth Carolina424148135922.547%46%-1%
CampbellTennessee425004069612.568%79%11%
KentDelaware5880416291242.545%50%5%
LevyFlorida414054073512.563%71%8%
MarshallIowa556314074612.544%51%6%
ClearfieldPennsylvania469678156222.555%73%17%
BooneMissouri5802916323242.543%43%0%
HindsMississippi4477324562962.430%27%-4%
TalladegaAlabama477198211022.459%62%3%
WebsterLouisiana383864121512.462%64%1%
OkanoganWashington447774125712.452%56%4%
MayesOklahoma492934128312.464%74%9%
OttawaOhio633524138112.446%57%11%
NewportRhode Island808628285222.437%37%-1%
WiseVirginia423724146312.463%80%17%
CaldwellNorth Carolina485128299822.464%73%9%
BannockIdaho533068307122.455%51%-4%
StarkOhio5562337532192.446%56%10%
DuboisIndiana638694187512.451%67%16%
AnchorageAlaska8251229322772.449%31%-19%
ClintonOhio528704193012.464%74%10%
KitsapWashington7926825180962.443%39%-3%
TiogaPennsylvania513244200812.463%74%11%
AvoyellesLouisiana383164210312.460%67%7%
BarrenKentucky448594216412.466%73%7%
GreeneArkansas470984219212.463%73%10%
PittNorth Carolina5296116881742.445%44%-1%
BayFlorida5837616927242.470%71%1%
FayetteKentucky5898129676572.447%42%-5%
MinnehahaSouth Dakota6316216998742.449%54%5%
BryanOklahoma440744257412.368%76%8%
EscambiaFlorida5282229804372.359%58%-1%
ClarkWashington80407427044102.346%46%0%
RockdaleGeorgia602818543422.345%36%-9%
MuscatineIowa617674273812.341%49%8%
CamdenNew Jersey73168513607122.332%32%0%
LackawannaPennsylvania5365521436752.337%47%10%
MuskegonMichigan5073017206842.335%46%12%
HabershamGeorgia512964308012.379%81%2%
BexarTexas589561723780402.347%41%-6%
WilsonTexas769054312212.367%72%5%
StaffordVirginia10909012974532.353%51%-1%
MckeanPennsylvania532664335612.358%71%14%
WallerTexas618224342212.353%63%9%
VictoriaTexas573448687822.366%68%2%
MadisonOhio656964344612.361%67%7%
AngelinaTexas517508695322.367%72%5%
OrleansLouisiana4509234785882.319%15%-5%
StevensWashington550004348612.359%67%8%
HighlandOhio471264355412.362%76%14%
SweetwaterWyoming806394362112.362%71%9%
ChiltonAlabama496924368212.378%82%4%
BerkshireMassachusetts5880513114432.322%26%3%
SullivanNew Hampshire635184371612.340%48%7%
CrawfordOhio494844371812.358%71%13%
AdaIdaho7229539353192.352%48%-4%
ErieNew York60620918652212.340%44%4%
NyeNevada484904376912.355%68%13%
Santa CruzCalifornia8577026305462.320%17%-2%
DunnWisconsin615064389812.342%52%10%
DavisUtah8761030785672.370%45%-25%
CamdenMissouri514604398512.364%75%12%
WashingtonWisconsin8192813197132.364%66%2%
PolkWisconsin639104415612.350%61%11%
MooreNorth Carolina639428856922.360%63%2%
IndianaPennsylvania512998884722.353%66%13%
WindhamVermont520684451012.225%24%-1%
MonroeTennessee505064460812.268%78%10%
WhitmanWashington459064479112.246%43%-3%
GrantWashington571528974422.263%65%3%
McdowellNorth Carolina463704501612.263%73%11%
SevierTennessee544769007222.273%79%5%
ItascaMinnesota586604504312.242%54%12%
BranchMichigan522554513712.252%67%15%
BedfordTennessee505394516112.266%75%9%
CampbellKentucky665209053222.260%59%-1%
PolkTexas504164539512.268%76%8%
FlatheadMontana613349090122.258%65%7%
FayettePennsylvania4805513644632.250%64%15%
LawrencePennsylvania509799096822.252%62%10%
UlsterNew York6409018243542.238%42%4%
NapaCalifornia9023013685832.233%28%-4%
ColquittGeorgia418994562812.268%73%4%
BristolMassachusetts69857548612122.237%42%5%
San JoaquinCalifornia68458687744152.244%40%-4%
PittsburgOklahoma472154585412.268%74%6%
AuglaizeOhio642274593912.270%79%9%
LeonFlorida5508127605862.237%35%-2%
FayetteWest Virginia414304604212.250%68%17%
ButlerOhio6861136863082.261%62%1%
MultnomahOregon72469737902162.221%17%-4%
LawrenceIndiana562614612412.259%73%14%
BuffaloNebraska647594616512.268%69%1%
IronUtah583074631012.276%65%-11%
LauderdaleAlabama481889267922.263%71%7%
ChesterfieldSouth Carolina424414666512.151%56%5%
PimaArizona56150982154212.146%40%-7%
LincolnLouisiana416084680112.156%58%2%
FremontColorado522394683712.164%69%5%
HopkinsKentucky487694689912.162%75%14%
CumberlandMaine7525428145762.134%34%-1%
WashingtonLouisiana355054709312.166%67%2%
OsageOklahoma506674741612.162%66%4%
HokeNorth Carolina484204746612.140%43%2%
LafayetteMississippi540344749612.156%55%-1%
StephensonIllinois517864764912.146%54%9%
FranklinVermont650564780612.137%41%4%
CambriaPennsylvania4879814349832.149%67%18%
CarrollNew Hampshire644954783612.146%49%3%
ClayFlorida7577619139542.171%70%-1%
El PasoColorado72675626928132.159%56%-2%
NewaygoMichigan517724839312.151%67%16%
HendricksIndiana8582714586732.161%64%3%
LoudonTennessee652264872512.171%75%4%
MerrimackNew Hampshire7580014640032.042%45%3%
WarrenMississippi466064884012.051%50%-1%
RacineWisconsin6169119551042.046%50%4%
ElkoNevada832874892612.068%73%5%
CurryNew Mexico456234894912.066%68%1%
GuilfordNorth Carolina55820489681102.040%38%-2%
Val VerdeTexas450344901912.045%43%-2%
HarfordMaryland9149224517752.058%58%0%
BoulderColorado8834129516662.026%22%-4%
MadisonTennessee504019839522.053%56%3%
CortlandNew York551434929412.044%49%5%
AdamsColorado7534144371592.040%41%1%
ColumbiaOregon722854934312.042%50%8%
SteubenNew York531679893022.058%64%6%
HenryIndiana492934947612.051%69%18%
BradleyTennessee525349907822.074%77%3%
BedfordPennsylvania542514970912.072%83%11%
BristolRhode Island879264985312.036%35%-1%
LenaweeMichigan554669976322.047%58%11%
CassNorth Dakota6397715023032.046%49%4%
GrundyIllinois831355014412.048%58%10%
Box ElderUtah693805015512.080%62%-18%
KentMichigan66560603219122.049%48%-1%
FranklinMissouri6142810150822.055%71%15%
Fond Du LacWisconsin6590510166522.054%60%7%
CherokeeTexas465765092312.071%77%6%
CrittendenArkansas419765093712.042%44%2%
MontgomeryTexas8883345901892.076%73%-2%
WashingtonOklahoma625155104512.072%71%-1%
WashingtonMississippi310185107812.032%31%-1%
GrantWisconsin564185123312.037%51%13%
ClevelandOklahoma6470625689551.962%57%-5%
WinonaMinnesota642195141911.939%46%7%
La PlataColorado778295143111.941%40%-1%
WorcesterMaryland658215143111.957%61%4%
JeffersonTennessee503325143711.971%77%7%
WhitfieldGeorgia5311510293421.969%70%1%
WashingtonPennsylvania6555820787541.952%61%9%
EagleColorado892685212611.938%36%-2%
SomersetMaine453335223111.946%58%11%
BerkeleyWest Virginia6301210464121.956%66%10%
SpokaneWashington5997647214791.949%50%1%
Van ZandtTexas555545263711.977%84%7%
San DiegoCalifornia835763105989591.944%37%-7%
HaysTexas7289015831231.950%47%-3%
CoffeeTennessee549315278011.964%72%8%
PulaskiMissouri556205280311.964%73%10%
WaynePennsylvania562655289511.956%68%12%
DarkeOhio568245296811.967%79%11%
AllenOhio5827110620521.960%66%7%
PuebloColorado5107515947731.942%46%4%
WashingtonOregon85665531744101.938%31%-7%
EssexMassachusetts83253744644141.939%36%-3%
JacksonMichigan5600116020131.948%57%9%
OgleIllinois635655347711.953%59%6%
GilaArizona459805356911.963%39%-24%
El PasoTexas48629804338151.933%26%-7%
AndroscogginMaine5895810762321.941%51%9%
BayMichigan5013010770321.941%53%12%
GreeneOhio6970916160531.959%59%1%
ColesIllinois504675392411.948%59%12%
BrunswickNorth Carolina6371210799221.958%63%4%
BooneIllinois724265416011.847%53%6%
LakeIllinois92638704596131.840%36%-3%
AutaugaAlabama582335463211.874%73%-1%
HardinTexas626165474811.880%86%6%
PorterIndiana7406416459231.846%50%5%
WashingtonVirginia523875487711.866%75%9%
VenangoPennsylvania536195492511.859%69%10%
VenturaCalifornia91446825706151.843%38%-5%
GreeneMissouri4531327541451.857%60%3%
TuolumneCalifornia647295518611.855%57%2%
GordonGeorgia533735521411.874%80%6%
ClarkIndiana5944111061021.853%59%6%
CarrollGeorgia5919311066121.866%68%2%
Tom GreenTexas5477411067921.870%71%1%
MaconIllinois5225911071521.849%56%7%
BernalilloNew Mexico56148664639121.839%34%-4%
KenoshaWisconsin6646016667131.840%47%7%
PutnamWest Virginia669915559711.861%71%10%
BentonArkansas7077522289441.867%63%-4%
La PorteIndiana5642711146521.838%50%12%
TerrebonneLouisiana5171911186121.869%73%3%
HillsboroughFlorida611331233846221.846%45%-1%
CumberlandTennessee491425613011.868%77%10%
HonoluluHawaii86946955775171.829%32%3%
EdgecombeNorth Carolina407845653911.833%33%1%
JohnstonNorth Carolina6283516973531.861%63%2%
McleanIllinois6923016983231.849%47%-2%
SenecaOhio556645666211.850%62%11%
BooneIndiana841375689111.862%61%-1%
FaulknerArkansas5848211398021.862%62%0%
WarrenKentucky5323811417221.859%59%0%
LancasterNebraska6138328614151.747%45%-1%
StanislausCalifornia6276151535891.748%46%-3%
WilsonTennessee8008011453721.768%69%2%
HillsboroughNew Hampshire8286240105771.747%47%-1%
PikePennsylvania665955732911.752%62%10%
Du PageIllinois96354918764161.744%39%-5%
LakeOhio6504023010141.749%55%7%
WashtenawMichigan7672834529061.729%27%-2%
HernandoFlorida5070517300831.751%63%12%
DuvalFlorida58339865876151.751%49%-2%
Prince WilliamVirginia10620840611071.742%36%-5%
VermilionLouisiana501935807011.773%78%6%
WhitesideIllinois508805844811.740%49%9%
AndersonTexas484615845211.771%78%6%
SkagitWashington6755111710221.744%44%0%
OneidaNew York5651623484541.752%57%4%
DuplinNorth Carolina449295872811.754%59%4%
BentonWashington7284717645531.762%59%-3%
CumberlandPennsylvania7526923586141.756%57%1%
OutagamieWisconsin6699417691231.743%53%10%
MobileAlabama4949241327771.754%55%1%
BarryMichigan677035904411.754%63%10%
SolanoCalifornia8570441430571.735%31%-4%
WindhamConnecticut6330911851921.738%51%13%
SnohomishWashington89119715470121.740%37%-2%
MorganAlabama5435511962621.771%74%3%
HidalgoTexas41656780087131.730%28%-2%
GeorgetownSouth Carolina537476009411.752%55%3%
OaklandMichigan812571203012201.742%44%1%
LivingstonMichigan8782718097231.756%62%6%
TulsaOklahoma57668605418101.762%58%-4%
GraysonTexas5743912114521.768%75%6%
JacksonGeorgia666456070611.677%80%3%
WestmorelandPennsylvania5940736501261.658%64%6%
YakimaWashington5567424448541.654%54%-1%
SpotsylvaniaVirginia9026212285321.653%55%2%
JeffersonLouisiana5590943244971.662%55%-7%
HawaiiHawaii6492918540631.622%27%5%
AlachuaFlorida4988024749741.639%36%-2%
PlymouthMassachusetts9058449578081.645%43%-2%
SaukWisconsin637526202511.638%47%9%
WardNorth Dakota686346209311.659%68%9%
PeoriaIllinois5771718631131.642%45%3%
MercerWest Virginia417946228211.663%76%13%
LawrenceOhio464336238011.657%70%14%
AndersonSouth Carolina5449618726931.666%70%4%
SedgwickKansas6001449939381.655%55%0%
BucksPennsylvania93587625472101.645%48%3%
BradfordPennsylvania513566265111.658%71%12%
LibertyGeorgia514106281911.636%38%2%
RiversideCalifornia729052203332351.648%44%-4%
SebastianArkansas4894512592021.666%65%-1%
ColumbiaNew York715636307311.642%45%2%
PulaskiKentucky435686313511.677%82%5%
CanyonIdaho5867018942831.667%65%-2%
ThurstonWashington7789025308741.638%38%-1%
ChesterfieldVirginia8164131710251.653%48%-5%
WashingtonRhode Island8645012700821.639%41%2%
CatoosaGeorgia607536397511.674%78%4%
SpaldingGeorgia492376408111.659%61%2%
MercedCalifornia5973325677841.645%41%-4%
OteroNew Mexico431356428411.659%59%0%
RichlandSouth Carolina5290538574561.635%31%-4%
San PatricioTexas573026458611.558%60%2%
ManateeFlorida6415132343551.553%57%4%
LakeCalifornia468976477111.539%43%4%
DouglasNebraska6726451877781.547%45%-2%
WaukeshaWisconsin9107038996461.562%60%-3%
YumaArizona4702419650931.556%47%-9%
MccrackenKentucky482196553911.562%66%4%
Black HawkIowa6001013122121.538%43%5%
HarrisonTexas551716576611.565%71%5%
LexingtonSouth Carolina6205926340641.568%66%-3%
ClermontOhio6872419760431.566%68%3%
San BernardinoCalifornia673982042441311.546%41%-4%
ButlerKansas661996592311.565%69%4%
PierceWashington78779795628121.543%42%-1%
WalkerAlabama459916694711.572%82%10%
Grand ForksNorth Dakota573886699111.547%54%7%
YoloCalifornia7095120119031.531%25%-6%
MarquetteMichigan549136713111.539%44%6%
RobesonNorth Carolina3636613447321.543%51%8%
NorfolkMassachusetts106851672376101.540%33%-7%
ColumbiaPennsylvania543776726811.552%64%12%
MadisonIllinois6659126927141.545%54%10%
HumboldtCalifornia5113413479421.534%31%-3%
Anne ArundelMaryland10091653919881.550%45%-5%
MonroeNew York62159744389111.541%39%-1%
AlleghenyPennsylvania647991223583181.542%40%-2%
CalhounMichigan5020513607221.544%53%9%
WalkerTexas475196818511.561%65%4%
New LondonConnecticut7522627405541.539%44%5%
GreeneTennessee449756879711.570%79%9%
MorganIndiana634146906111.463%76%13%
ClarkOhio5083213819321.450%57%7%
RowanNorth Carolina5205113844621.461%67%6%
SonomaCalifornia8708448512071.424%22%-2%
JacksonMississippi5341413969821.467%68%1%
DaneWisconsin7782848930971.426%23%-3%
EriePennsylvania5192328068641.439%49%9%
KernCalifornia53245842207121.458%53%-5%
BelmontOhio501667031911.448%68%20%
YavapaiArizona5424221106131.461%62%1%
LinnIowa6478321150131.438%41%3%
ShiawasseeMichigan556337060611.445%56%12%
HarrisTexas616384110771581.449%42%-7%
CuyahogaOhio525031278208181.430%31%0%
RileyKansas519967148111.453%47%-6%
ClallamWashington575717151511.447%48%0%
OrangeFlorida631331149500161.440%36%-5%
NiagaraNew York5637121654631.449%56%8%
KnoxTennessee6031643310861.461%59%-2%
FairfaxVirginia1278981086743151.439%29%-10%
YorkPennsylvania6910143549061.456%62%6%
MontgomeryPennsylvania92340801052111.439%37%-2%
IberiaLouisiana477317323611.461%64%4%
WagonerOklahoma651917334911.471%73%3%
NassauFlorida728187347311.472%74%2%
East Baton RougeLouisiana5630344090961.448%43%-5%
GwinnettGeorgia72225808719111.455%45%-10%
CharlesMaryland10251014708621.437%33%-4%
AugustaVirginia636217366811.469%72%3%
Rock IslandIllinois5777214751721.437%42%5%
WinnebagoIllinois5951029512741.443%47%4%
Fort BendTexas10136159035081.451%45%-6%
TulareCalifornia5677644368861.457%52%-5%
SchuylkillPennsylvania5595114822821.354%70%16%
YellowstoneMontana6143514843221.352%59%7%
OconeeSouth Carolina522407435911.368%72%4%
BullittKentucky663357447311.365%73%7%
LakeFlorida5766029795041.356%60%4%
HancockOhio627207472711.361%67%7%
WoodWisconsin573257479311.342%57%14%
BurlingtonNew Jersey8844344914961.340%41%0%
FranklinPennsylvania6269914983421.366%71%6%
ForrestMississippi402247511311.356%55%-1%
LorainOhio5920130144941.340%48%7%
ClintonMichigan726667542611.349%53%4%
GreenvilleSouth Carolina6439945285961.361%59%-2%
LewisWashington585257548711.358%64%6%
JohnsonTexas6653815121121.373%77%4%
AlbanyNew York6940830383341.334%34%0%
RockinghamVirginia672427641311.367%69%2%
LancasterSouth Carolina638427688911.357%61%4%
HampdenMassachusetts5991846367861.336%39%3%
WhiteArkansas463887735011.372%77%5%
JeffersonArkansas405557735811.336%36%0%
SummitOhio5775354156571.341%43%2%
KosciuskoIndiana646777736811.368%75%7%
PayneOklahoma430257744811.363%60%-4%
LeeFlorida6236462015181.355%59%4%
RossOhio547287809011.353%61%9%
MaricopaArizona686343827371491.355%48%-7%
ChittendenVermont7648315670521.327%22%-4%
CumberlandNew Jersey5417915714921.339%45%6%
HendersonTexas498967864711.372%79%7%
MclennanTexas5107823602831.362%61%-1%
SciotoOhio454107950611.352%67%15%
Salt LakeUtah799411033910131.349%33%-16%
ElmoreAlabama623107954911.375%74%-1%
BuncombeNorth Carolina5544823883231.342%40%-2%
SarpyNebraska8401615970921.357%56%-1%
KentonKentucky6869215987621.360%60%0%
CayugaNew York580557997811.345%52%8%
LuzernePennsylvania5343932079541.245%58%13%
CattaraugusNew York507838022911.255%63%9%
AikenSouth Carolina5682416056521.261%61%0%
SumnerTennessee6939116125021.267%70%3%
ClarkNevada621311954260241.239%42%2%
CascadeMontana517328151911.248%57%9%
VermilionIllinois462958155111.249%62%14%
Los AngelesCalifornia7272198304201201.229%22%-6%
JeffersonAlabama5412765855581.247%44%-3%
JosephineOregon475338280711.255%60%6%
MarionFlorida4907933129041.255%62%6%
SuffolkNew York1052411494434181.247%51%5%
LeeMississippi508038304811.265%68%2%
KentRhode Island7423016610321.240%47%7%
MadisonKentucky503168315711.261%63%2%
LimestoneAlabama647298319311.270%72%2%
PassaicNew Jersey7603950186061.239%37%-2%
HamiltonTennessee5780233729441.255%55%0%
FresnoCalifornia56926933248111.248%44%-4%
NuecesTexas5607934048041.252%49%-3%
District Of ColumbiaDistrict of Columbia9039560445371.27%4%-2%
OzaukeeWisconsin904468636511.260%56%-4%
PolkIowa6733143226051.242%40%-1%
Grand TraverseMichigan650418704311.151%53%2%
PlacerCalifornia9768835004841.155%52%-3%
CharlestonSouth Carolina7098035148241.145%43%-2%
LapeerMichigan664158821011.150%66%16%
SherburneMinnesota953238869111.158%64%6%
OrangeCalifornia957613018963341.150%42%-8%
HamiltonOhio6025180225291.146%42%-4%
ShawneeKansas5945117830121.149%48%-2%
MontgomeryOhio5470453505961.146%48%2%
QueensNew York729752233841251.124%22%-3%
DauphinPennsylvania6076326822031.145%47%2%
PlatteMissouri844568967711.153%53%0%
New CastleDelaware7607653898661.129%33%3%
San Luis ObispoCalifornia7659927011331.146%42%-4%
HorrySouth Carolina5364827043031.162%67%6%
OkaloosaFlorida6352018072821.172%71%-1%
SuffolkMassachusetts7584372332381.121%16%-5%
AtlanticNew Jersey6267827468531.142%45%3%
BaldwinAlabama5987118319521.175%77%1%
WilliamsonTennessee11963718403521.169%64%-5%
ButlerPennsylvania7257618405921.163%66%3%
HamiltonIndiana10771027639031.161%57%-4%
FultonGeorgia79235926197101.132%27%-5%
JeffersonKentucky5902574217281.144%41%-3%
MarshallAlabama489139323511.178%83%5%
PottawattamieIowa603229335911.150%57%7%
GeaugaOhio798659340811.157%61%4%
InghamMichigan5470428081231.133%33%1%
WayneNew York619899375311.154%59%5%
DubuqueIowa624819388011.139%47%8%
SumterFlorida634649407411.163%69%6%
ClackamasOregon8053937689141.144%41%-2%
MontgomeryVirginia587409453111.147%45%-2%
DoughertyGeorgia368949457711.132%30%-2%
SutterCalifornia609109480611.157%54%-3%
LitchfieldConnecticut8101518984021.147%54%8%
PhiladelphiaPennsylvania475981528306161.016%15%-1%
Contra CostaCalifornia1065551052827111.030%25%-5%
New HavenConnecticut6968786298991.038%42%4%
NashNorth Carolina509029593811.050%49%-1%
GarlandArkansas457869614511.061%64%3%
FloydGeorgia505209627411.068%70%2%
CabellWest Virginia421259637811.054%60%6%
JacksonMissouri5790767525971.050%53%3%
BrazosTexas5447119569321.064%58%-6%
ClevelandNorth Carolina460129805011.059%64%4%
RockinghamNew Hampshire9141629536031.049%50%1%
YorkMaine6680319721621.039%44%5%
HighlandsFlorida457239870011.059%65%6%
NevadaCalifornia695509879411.046%43%-4%
VolusiaFlorida5355449452751.047%55%8%
SangamonIllinois6176819782221.047%51%4%
LakeIndiana5728049598151.032%38%5%
NorthamptonPennsylvania7378029810131.043%50%7%
YamhillOregon718159939111.049%48%-1%
DakotaMinnesota8907539910041.046%43%-3%
NewtonGeorgia5822210008611.049%48%-2%
MarionIndiana5070790487891.035%36%1%
TarrantTexas701301817658181.055%52%-4%
CecilMaryland7530710119911.056%64%8%
PenningtonSouth Dakota5891910134811.060%62%2%
AshtabulaOhio4738810142911.042%57%15%
SacramentoCalifornia718911421959141.039%34%-6%
New HanoverNorth Carolina5725220334121.050%49%-1%
JacksonOregon5636720346221.049%49%1%
HoustonAlabama5013810188811.070%72%2%
CameronTexas4089340805441.035%32%-3%
WoodburyIowa5841910240711.050%57%7%
HenryGeorgia7292720526521.053%46%-7%
OklahomaOklahoma5627272117871.058%52%-7%
MchenryIllinois8937930919231.047%51%4%
KaufmanTexas7500910392711.068%72%4%
EtowahAlabama4304710446211.068%73%5%
BonnevilleIdaho6516510459211.070%60%-10%
DavidsonTennessee6384662813361.039%34%-5%
MarionOregon6405831609630.947%46%-1%
SeminoleFlorida6995442350840.951%49%-2%
Santa BarbaraCalifornia7453042471240.937%32%-6%
WarrenOhio9164521319220.967%66%-1%
WilliamsonTexas9266142664540.956%51%-4%
FayetteGeorgia9456310694510.965%58%-7%
HendersonNorth Carolina6165110697810.960%62%2%
CollierFlorida7641532247230.961%62%1%
SalineArkansas6694410753210.969%69%-1%
MiddlesexMassachusetts1065431506008140.934%28%-6%
ColumbianaOhio5269310780010.953%69%16%
EatonMichigan6589110783810.945%49%4%
AscensionLouisiana8307210789110.967%66%-1%
VigoIndiana4808210795810.941%55%14%
BarnstableMassachusetts8268621593720.942%40%-2%
OntarioNew York6675410811610.949%50%0%
MontgomeryMaryland11001297620390.927%19%-8%
WarrenNew Jersey8399810871410.957%61%4%
BrevardFlorida5758254357350.955%58%3%
ComalTexas8797610938210.973%73%-1%
BrowardFlorida614291753578160.932%31%-1%
ButteCalifornia5839422007220.948%47%0%
AnokaMinnesota8336333130230.950%50%0%
ClayMissouri7070522271820.950%52%2%
EssexNew Jersey6452278422870.924%20%-3%
WakeNorth Carolina8437790696980.942%37%-5%
CacheUtah6318011341710.970%46%-25%
YorkSouth Carolina6846822697120.958%58%0%
La SalleIllinois5952811384010.944%54%10%
WorcesterMassachusetts7779579955370.942%41%-1%
La CrosseWisconsin5975811487410.937%42%4%
ArapahoeColorado8236457502250.943%39%-4%
CobbGeorgia7962269006360.954%46%-8%
SheboyganWisconsin6210811547210.950%54%5%
ShelbyTennessee5265992903080.936%34%-1%
FrederickMaryland10295123412220.950%47%-2%
JasperMissouri4602111777010.866%73%7%
DallasTexas618072377351200.842%35%-7%
PickensSouth Carolina5294911921710.872%74%2%
BooneKentucky7880611929010.867%68%1%
KingWashington1023381937961160.828%22%-7%
GreggTexas5313712185410.869%69%0%
OswegoNew York5764012211410.848%57%10%
KennebecMaine5535812214310.842%48%6%
MercerNew Jersey7947536678930.832%30%-2%
BlountTennessee5936812311910.869%72%3%
MorrisNew Jersey11632849269440.854%50%-4%
StraffordNew Hampshire7148612319810.839%42%3%
WashingtonTennessee5187912333810.866%69%3%
CookIllinois693755200950420.823%21%-2%
BrownWisconsin6549424850620.845%52%7%
ColumbiaGeorgia8828512481510.871%67%-4%
WrightMinnesota9137412511810.858%62%5%
KalamazooMichigan5673925073820.839%40%1%
BronxNew York414701386657110.811%9%-1%
JeffersonTexas5517325239020.849%49%0%
MarinCalifornia11206925291620.820%16%-5%
SarasotaFlorida6625837987430.850%54%5%
WeldColorado7816025427020.853%57%3%
CowetaGeorgia7923212795510.870%69%-1%
LivingstonLouisiana6385212854910.885%85%0%
KaneIllinois8431151649940.843%42%-2%
FranklinOhio64648116589790.839%34%-5%
ClaytonGeorgia5073725962320.817%14%-3%
UtahUtah7950552004940.878%51%-27%
ScottMinnesota10871813048710.855%53%-1%
JohnsonIowa6729513122510.828%27%-1%
RapidesLouisiana4968713177910.864%65%1%
MecklenburgNorth Carolina6945592342770.837%33%-5%
DouglasGeorgia6291513272210.849%43%-6%
MarathonWisconsin6609213410410.745%56%11%
NassauNew York1177671341245100.745%45%0%
DurhamNorth Carolina6554126845420.724%18%-5%
BaltimoreMaryland7697280570960.742%38%-3%
MilwaukeeWisconsin5350594894470.731%29%-3%
JohnsonKansas9191354587640.754%47%-6%
FlorenceSouth Carolina4977013708810.751%51%0%
KootenaiIdaho6276413890110.762%67%5%
HoustonGeorgia6564114071310.760%59%-1%
LeeAlabama5416014078010.759%58%-1%
RankinMississippi6728414201810.777%75%-1%
PauldingGeorgia7658014274110.769%69%0%
GloucesterNew Jersey8799628858120.744%48%5%
HennepinMinnesota82323115462380.735%28%-7%
OlmstedMinnesota8063114450910.747%45%-3%
Santa FeNew Mexico6179114460610.722%20%-2%
FairfieldOhio7178214635110.758%61%3%
WashingtonMaryland5978514755810.755%62%7%
DutchessNew York8456429757720.745%47%2%
HartfordConnecticut7533689447860.734%36%3%
SussexNew Jersey10028114923910.760%63%3%
StearnsMinnesota6644915078510.752%60%8%
BergenNew Jersey10797190654160.745%42%-3%
AlamanceNorth Carolina5796315152810.754%55%0%
Santa RosaFlorida6613915196610.773%74%1%
TollandConnecticut9018115278110.739%44%5%
FairfieldConnecticut9696691871460.741%38%-3%
SchenectadyNew York6496015488910.643%43%0%
MauiHawaii7737515512410.622%26%4%
PascoFlorida5574546554330.651%59%8%
SullivanTennessee5130315679410.670%75%5%
BerrienMichigan5065915680510.647%54%7%
MonmouthNew Jersey10257963096640.652%53%1%
WyandotteKansas4729215784510.629%32%4%
WestchesterNew York10174195054160.636%31%-5%
New YorkNew York930071586698100.613%10%-4%
IredellNorth Carolina6830815977110.662%66%5%
CharlotteFlorida5475615999010.653%62%9%
RockWisconsin6162416031010.635%41%7%
Santa ClaraCalifornia1324441787694110.629%21%-8%
DavidsonNorth Carolina5392416293010.666%73%6%
BeaufortSouth Carolina7389016298910.655%55%0%
MiddlesexConnecticut8172116569710.638%44%6%
DentonTexas9091066705340.662%57%-5%
CarrollMaryland10181016724110.664%63%-1%
MacombMichigan6505184112650.645%54%9%
RamseyMinnesota6865250932030.632%26%-6%
MonroePennsylvania6301216989610.641%48%6%
MedinaOhio7854017259210.653%60%7%
LehighPennsylvania6543635010620.642%46%4%
LaneOregon5721235198320.635%35%0%
AllenIndiana5683835585620.652%57%5%
CabarrusNorth Carolina7207117858810.659%58%-1%
BerkeleySouth Carolina6869017878310.656%56%0%
UnionNew Jersey7995353766130.636%31%-5%
OnslowNorth Carolina5064517947110.660%65%5%
WayneMichigan507531815734100.625%29%5%
PinellasFlorida5670891671950.545%49%3%
DelawarePennsylvania7678355927630.539%37%-2%
OrangeNew York8318837335520.547%50%3%
Palm BeachFlorida66621132339470.538%41%3%
AlamedaCalifornia107589151395280.519%15%-5%
OceanNew Jersey7562757760330.559%65%6%
TuscaloosaAlabama5230719503610.558%58%0%
ShelbyAlabama7780119582810.576%72%-4%
CollinTexas9684778840740.562%56%-7%
PolkFlorida5181760278830.553%55%3%
WhatcomWashington6865620162810.540%37%-3%
MiddlesexNew Jersey9277081098640.539%38%-1%
WashingtonArkansas5215820412310.556%51%-5%
GastonNorth Carolina5654220621310.562%64%2%
MontereyCalifornia7650941668220.530%26%-4%
ProvidenceRhode Island6216562707030.532%37%5%
ArlingtonVirginia11898620945710.527%17%-10%
TrumbullOhio4796620993610.538%51%13%
JeffersonMissouri6877921908410.548%65%17%
LucasOhio4992444146820.534%38%5%
WeberUtah7183523222810.463%47%-15%
RichmondNew York8662446936320.452%56%4%
MahoningOhio4801823831010.436%47%11%
WashingtonMinnesota10085723884410.447%45%-2%
ChesterPennsylvania10223349979720.445%43%-2%
WebbTexas5257625163210.428%23%-5%
LancasterPennsylvania6751552015620.455%57%2%
RutherfordTennessee6961426374010.459%60%1%
JeffersonColorado8969653553320.445%42%-3%
San FranciscoCalifornia12179580546330.414%9%-4%
DouglasColorado12369728700310.358%55%-3%
HowardMaryland12132928837610.338%29%-9%
LarimerColorado7533230063710.344%43%-2%
DenverColorado7545660441420.323%19%-4%
HenricoVirginia6897530743510.343%37%-7%
RocklandNew York9983131218310.347%45%-2%
HudsonNew Jersey7773863529420.326%22%-4%
SomersetNew Jersey11272232419410.347%42%-5%
MadisonAlabama6860933598810.357%55%-2%
TravisTexas80690103080630.334%27%-7%
ForsythNorth Carolina5305435133510.344%43%-2%
San MateoCalifornia13523472016220.325%18%-6%
PinalArizona6206738384210.357%56%0%
BerksPennsylvania6741841185010.245%53%8%
OnondagaNew York6159746720410.239%40%1%
WillIllinois9024967869710.143%44%1%

Trump failed to live up to his campaign rhetoric on foreign policy and the expectations of his ardent supporters. While he did end Operation Timber Sycamore, the U.S. government’s aid program to anti-Assad rebels in Syria, he failed to end the war in Afghanistan, flirted with regime change in Venezuela, and nearly started a war with Iran. However, the bar of U.S. foreign policy is so low that his supporters could honestly claim that he started no new wars.

With Trump out of the White House, these disparities continue to animate American populism. War and interventionism remain prevalent issues with the populist right because their motivations were not primarily tied to Trump, despite the assertions by many in the corporate press. Additionally, war and intervention remain a popular issue for the populist right because mainstream politicians and cultural figures ignore or dismiss them.

Conservatives, who are overrepresented among active military and veterans, are tired of being asked to sacrifice for an elite class that views them with disdain. An accelerating populist distrust for elites has only grown due to two years of COVID lockdown policies; policies are often sold on “noble lies.” This narrative is evident in the memes and discourse circulating on the right.

These issues are not going away. And attempts to turn U.S. involvement in the #UkraineWar into a cultural issue will only amplify them. Chiding conservatives over their concerns over inflation and rising gas prices furthers their sense of alienation. Furthermore, cynical attempts to leverage crisis-related gas shortages and inflation into radical and permanent economic policies will only breed further hostility. Large segments of the American middle and working classes never fully recovered from the 2008 financial crisis. In the past 14 years, they’ve seen the value of their savings and earnings decrease due to inflation. Asking them to make further sacrifices is a tall order, and dismissing their concerns as selfish isn’t going to motivate them either.

America’s martial caste is, by and large, choosing to abstain from this conflict and, at the least, remain among those most hesitant for further American involvement. If well-meaning people want to prevent this abstention from turning into rebellion, the first step is to recognize that these issues have a longer history than the news cycle and have roots deeper than the #UkraineCrisis. Furthermore, they are grounded in real hardships and legitimate political concerns and are not merely motivated by politics that liberals find distasteful.

New Op-Ed: “Bear Any Burden: Military Sacrifice and Rise of American Populism”

Antiwar.com was gracious enough to publish an essay that I’ve been working on, “Bear Any Burden: Military Sacrifice and Rise of American Populism.”

It argues that the economic, geographic, and racial disparities in military sacrifice during the Global War on Terrorism is the prime cause for modern American populism and the erosion of institutional trust in the United States. If you’d like to read more, the link is below:

Bear Any Burden: Military Sacrifice and Rise of American Populism – Antiwar.com Original

I know that we are living in highly polarized times, and for many, this may be a controversial thesis. I merely ask that it be approached with an open mind.

Also linked below is a repository for the datasets and code used to generate the plots and calculate some of the statistics.

bbuck1/bear_any_burden (github.com)

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